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Red160
167866.3
276113.7
349522.8
Blue74
44708.7
454329.6
242911.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions862805010015020016074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.36.2
56.462.7
Auto9.9
Teleop56.4
End0.0
red by 36.7
29.62.8
19.622.4
Auto1.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
3495
#10
22.86.2
16.622.8
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 11.5
2429
#41
11.42.8
10.112.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Third
2761
#25
13.76.2
6.913.1
Auto0.9
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 5.1
4470
#39
8.72.8
8.811.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End0.0