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Red16
58117.8
132319.7
2563.6
Blue118
210230.8
70136.5
25463.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412205010015020025016118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#30
19.72.6
22.820.2
Auto0.6
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 43.7
254
#2
63.40.4
54.655.0
Auto8.8
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Second
581
#20
17.82.6
16.413.8
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 18.7
701
#3
36.50.4
30.430.9
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Third
256
#43
3.62.6
9.87.3
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End0.0
blue by 27.3
30.80.4
27.427.9
Auto0.3
Teleop30.6
End0.0