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Red36
349522.8
425511.4
242911.4
Blue26
70136.5
2563.6
32558.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4846204060801003626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#10
22.80.9
22.821.9
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 13.7
701
#3
36.51.6
30.929.2
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Second
4255
#27
11.40.9
12.711.8
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 2.7
3255
#47
8.71.6
10.58.8
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0
Third
2429
#41
11.40.9
12.811.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 7.8
256
#43
3.61.6
7.35.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End0.0