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Red78
388116.2
210230.8
350121.7
Blue102
254313.5
29527.6
67025.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66410208010012014078102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.4
27.929.3
Auto0.3
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 3.3
295
#7
27.64.0
22.326.3
Auto0.4
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
3501
#11
21.71.4
20.421.8
Auto1.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 3.7
670
#8
25.44.0
20.324.3
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Third
3881
#22
16.21.4
16.017.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 2.8
2543
#33
13.54.0
4.28.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0