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Red65
64920.7
8407.5
454329.6
Blue88
397030.3
60416.7
29527.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467101001506588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.3
24.926.3
Auto1.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
30.31.6
28.530.1
Auto1.0
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Second
649
#13
20.71.3
20.221.5
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
295
#7
27.61.6
26.327.9
Auto0.4
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
840
#49
7.51.3
6.17.5
Auto0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 9.2
604
#24
16.71.6
15.016.7
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0