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Red18
254313.5
388116.2
70136.5
Blue17
23677.0
276113.7
413520.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48320204060801001201401601817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#3
36.52.5
18.415.9
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
red by 16.0
4135
#16
20.51.6
13.211.6
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
3881
#22
16.22.5
18.215.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 2.5
2761
#25
13.71.6
12.410.8
Auto0.9
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
2543
#33
13.52.5
10.98.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 6.4
2367
#45
7.01.6
10.48.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.7
End0.0