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Red134
35940.5
157231.3
356219.5
Blue74
347625.8
325026.2
513611.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8852010015020013474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
40.50.8
38.639.4
Auto0.9
Teleop39.6
End0.0
red by 14.4
26.20.2
24.925.2
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
31.30.8
29.430.2
Auto0.1
Teleop31.2
End0.0
red by 5.5
3476
#12
25.80.2
24.624.8
Auto0.4
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
3562
#19
19.50.8
17.618.4
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 8.0
5136
#33
11.50.2
10.210.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0