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Red0
356219.5
97328.8
41406.9
Blue4
4574-0.6
302110.6
329518.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5019010015004

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#4
28.82.9
22.920.0
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 10.4
3295
#10
18.31.2
7.96.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
3562
#19
19.52.9
13.710.8
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 8.9
3021
#27
10.61.2
9.07.8
Auto0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
4140
#32
6.92.9
10.57.5
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0
red by 7.5
4574
#38
-0.61.2
8.06.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop-0.5
End0.0