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Red68
237513.4
312818.6
329518.3
Blue48
325026.2
114810.4
119716.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323802060801001201406848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#17
18.62.8
15.918.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 7.5
26.20.8
13.614.3
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
3295
#10
18.32.8
9.712.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 1.6
1197
#24
16.70.8
17.017.7
Auto0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
2375
#21
13.42.8
8.911.7
Auto0.7
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 3.1
1148
#28
10.40.8
8.39.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0