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Red92
164417.1
302110.6
10017.8
Blue118
347625.8
39925.3
325026.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25610408010012014016092118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#15
17.85.0
12.717.7
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 8.4
26.25.0
14.319.3
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
17.15.0
15.220.2
Auto0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 8.7
3476
#12
25.85.0
22.527.5
Auto0.4
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
3021
#27
10.65.0
3.88.9
Auto0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 14.7
399
#11
25.35.0
21.126.1
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0