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Red55
302110.6
340813.4
35940.5
Blue28
249316.6
347625.8
396520.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417101001502005528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
40.51.2
26.827.9
Auto0.9
Teleop39.6
End0.0
red by 14.7
3476
#12
25.83.4
27.524.1
Auto0.4
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
3408
#26
13.41.2
11.112.3
Auto0.0
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 6.7
20.13.4
18.014.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
3021
#27
10.61.2
8.910.0
Auto0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 6.0
2493
#16
16.63.4
23.119.7
Auto0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0