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Red35
39925.3
248512.0
157231.3
Blue2
4574-0.6
441316.4
183615.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6935050100150200352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.32.6
22.820.2
Auto0.1
Teleop31.2
End0.0
red by 14.8
4413
#13
16.43.3
17.814.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
399
#11
25.32.6
26.123.5
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 10.1
1836
#14
15.23.3
18.615.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
2485
#36
12.02.6
17.214.6
Auto0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 12.6
4574
#38
-0.63.3
4.81.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop-0.5
End0.0