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Red26
441316.4
164417.1
49848.8
Blue70
97328.8
329518.3
405614.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415102060801001201401602670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.11.4
18.717.3
Auto0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 11.7
973
#4
28.81.5
26.127.5
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Second
4413
#13
16.41.4
12.310.9
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3295
#10
18.31.5
12.413.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
4984
#31
8.81.4
12.711.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 5.3
4056
#18
14.21.5
12.814.3
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0