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Red1
10017.8
347312.0
248512.0
Blue0
50257.9
340813.4
249624.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5726010015010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#15
17.84.4
13.59.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 6.4
24.21.1
10.19.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
3473
#25
12.04.4
12.07.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3408
#26
13.41.1
9.98.8
Auto0.0
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
2485
#36
12.04.4
28.824.3
Auto0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 4.1
5025
#30
7.91.1
11.710.5
Auto0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0