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Red90
59719.4
35940.5
501213.5
Blue12
41406.9
164417.1
119716.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6040020801001201401609012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
40.52.5
34.136.6
Auto0.9
Teleop39.6
End0.0
red by 23.4
17.11.8
17.515.7
Auto0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Second
597
#8
19.42.5
15.718.1
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 2.6
1197
#24
16.71.8
16.514.7
Auto0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
5012
#23
13.52.5
9.411.8
Auto0.6
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 6.5
4140
#32
6.91.8
10.99.1
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0