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Red50
114810.4
248512.0
347625.8
Blue34
237513.4
501213.5
491312.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383502060801001201401605034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#12
25.80.6
21.121.8
Auto0.4
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 12.3
5012
#23
13.50.2
11.812.0
Auto0.6
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Second
2485
#36
12.00.7
9.29.8
Auto0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 1.5
2375
#21
13.40.2
13.013.2
Auto0.7
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
1148
#28
10.40.7
8.59.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 2.1
4913
#22
12.50.2
12.312.5
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0