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Red107
347625.8
325026.2
513611.5
Blue65
119716.7
29424.2
33287.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56400208010012014016010765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.9
23.724.5
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 2.0
294
#7
24.20.3
22.823.2
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Second
3476
#12
25.80.9
23.324.1
Auto0.4
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 9.0
1197
#24
16.70.3
15.415.7
Auto0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
5136
#33
11.50.9
9.09.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 3.9
3328
#37
7.60.3
6.26.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0