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Red126
6765.1
22572.0
448886.7
Blue174
333965.5
171149.5
132573.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231169100150200250300126174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.71.7
88.586.8
Auto-2.5
Teleop89.2
End0.0
red by 13.1
73.50.2
72.572.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.0
End0.0
Second
225
#18
72.01.7
73.872.1
Auto4.6
Teleop67.4
End0.0
red by 6.5
3339
#15
65.50.2
64.464.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
Third
67
#20
65.11.7
66.965.2
Auto5.3
Teleop59.8
End0.0
red by 15.6
1711
#26
49.50.2
48.448.2
Auto1.0
Teleop48.5
End0.0