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Red215
6765.1
22572.0
448886.7
Blue227
333965.5
171149.5
132573.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224172100150200250300215227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.70.2
86.886.7
Auto-2.5
Teleop89.2
End0.0
red by 13.1
73.50.7
72.973.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.0
End0.0
Second
225
#18
72.00.2
72.272.0
Auto4.6
Teleop67.4
End0.0
red by 6.5
3339
#15
65.50.7
64.865.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
Third
67
#20
65.10.2
65.265.1
Auto5.3
Teleop59.8
End0.0
red by 15.6
1711
#26
49.50.7
48.849.5
Auto1.0
Teleop48.5
End0.0