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Red148
449948.4
162947.9
565932.1
Blue168
237735.9
540666.8
350632.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116115100110120130140150160148168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#44
48.41.4
45.346.7
Auto1.7
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 18.4
66.82.4
64.366.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
Second
1629
#25
47.91.4
42.243.6
Auto6.0
Teleop41.9
End0.0
red by 12.0
2377
#50
35.92.4
28.631.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
5659
#61
32.11.4
32.934.2
Auto0.6
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Level
3506
#36
32.12.4
26.528.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.2
End0.0