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Red70
56554.4
24657.9
3759.1
Blue89
505917.9
348141.4
171149.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5410901502002507089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#27
57.90.3
57.157.4
Auto4.4
Teleop53.5
End0.0
red by 8.4
1711
#26
49.50.7
49.448.6
Auto1.0
Teleop48.5
End0.0
Second
375
#74
9.10.3
7.67.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 32.3
3481
#53
41.40.7
37.837.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Third
5655
#75
4.40.3
-0.20.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.8
End0.0
blue by 13.5
5059
#51
17.90.7
16.515.8
Auto1.1
Teleop16.8
End0.0