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Red149
124133.6
350632.1
132573.5
Blue172
23655.8
505348.4
97360.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116163050100200250300350149172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.51.1
67.168.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.0
End0.0
red by 13.2
973
#7
60.40.5
58.859.3
Auto1.3
Teleop59.1
End0.0
Second
1241
#49
33.61.1
31.532.6
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 22.2
236
#9
55.80.5
54.154.6
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0
Third
3506
#36
32.11.1
28.930.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.2
End0.0
blue by 16.3
5053
#30
48.40.5
48.749.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.8
End0.0