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Red148
505348.4
41843.0
252139.4
Blue177
151997.9
24657.9
481827.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11216550150200250148177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#30
48.41.2
44.245.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.8
End0.0
blue by 49.5
97.90.7
98.399.0
Auto15.3
Teleop82.6
End0.0
Second
418
#54
43.01.2
39.240.3
Auto0.1
Teleop42.9
End0.0
blue by 14.9
246
#27
57.90.7
52.052.7
Auto4.4
Teleop53.5
End0.0
Third
2521
#63
39.41.2
41.142.2
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 11.8
4818
#19
27.60.7
12.613.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0