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Red110
130620.9
171149.5
39954.9
Blue127
325631.3
151141.8
290528.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12372050100150200110127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#41
54.90.5
57.256.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 13.1
1511
#28
41.82.2
36.638.8
Auto0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
1711
#26
49.50.5
46.145.6
Auto1.0
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 18.1
3256
#70
31.32.2
23.826.0
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Third
1306
#59
20.90.5
15.815.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 7.5
2905
#39
28.42.2
22.424.7
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0