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Qual 432015 Carson Division
Red154
41843.0
571929.8
24657.9
Blue138
565932.1
46731.9
512250.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091056080100120140160154138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#27
57.92.2
55.0→57.2
Auto4.4
Teleop53.5
End0.0
red by 7.6
5122
#23
50.31.3
48.6→49.9
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0
Second
418
#54
43.02.2
37.9→40.1
Auto0.1
Teleop42.9
End0.0
red by 10.9
5659
#61
32.11.3
31.3→32.6
Auto0.6
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
5719
#31
29.82.2
17.3→19.5
Auto0.3
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 2.2
467
#43
31.91.3
31.6→33.0
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0