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Red160
562521.8
17347.3
151141.8
Blue178
8576.0
23655.8
540666.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83191050100150250300350160178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#45
47.33.1
44.047.1
Auto0.6
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 28.7
85
#3
76.00.1
69.469.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop76.5
End0.0
Second
1511
#28
41.83.1
38.841.9
Auto0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
blue by 25.0
66.80.1
61.060.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
Third
5625
#66
21.83.1
20.523.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 34.0
236
#9
55.80.1
50.550.4
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0