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Qual 662015 Carson Division
Red40
495310.3
105838.8
2041.3
Blue100
360457.2
421521.6
325631.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910505015020025040100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#46
41.32.3
35.2→32.9
Auto0.3
Teleop41.0
End0.0
blue by 15.9
3604
#34
57.20.2
55.4→55.2
Auto1.9
Teleop55.3
End0.0
Second
1058
#48
38.82.3
40.9→38.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 7.5
3256
#70
31.30.2
24.3→24.0
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Third
4953
#71
10.32.3
9.5→7.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 11.3
4215
#64
21.60.2
25.0→24.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0