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Red160
20358.8
99961.0
151141.8
Blue80
228322.1
24657.9
188537.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1601065020025016080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#14
61.00.1
59.860.0
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 3.1
246
#27
57.91.9
59.657.6
Auto4.4
Teleop53.5
End0.0
Second
203
#11
58.80.1
53.954.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop59.1
End0.0
red by 21.6
1885
#29
37.21.9
36.734.8
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Third
1511
#28
41.80.1
43.643.7
Auto0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 19.7
2283
#73
22.11.9
22.320.4
Auto0.7
Teleop21.5
End0.0