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Red80
46731.9
247151.3
481827.6
Blue127
55840.6
237735.9
145831.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999040608012014016080127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#35
51.31.1
48.747.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop51.7
End0.0
red by 10.7
558
#40
40.61.6
40.542.1
Auto1.3
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
467
#43
31.91.1
31.230.1
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 4.0
2377
#50
35.91.6
25.427.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
4818
#19
27.61.1
21.520.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 4.2
1458
#68
31.81.6
29.130.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0