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Red132
188537.2
495310.3
171149.5
Blue148
348141.4
23655.8
571929.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83105050150200250132148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#26
49.52.7
47.950.6
Auto1.0
Teleop48.5
End0.0
blue by 6.4
236
#9
55.82.1
49.952.0
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0
Second
1885
#29
37.22.7
34.837.5
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 4.2
3481
#53
41.42.1
33.035.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Third
4953
#71
10.32.7
7.29.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 19.4
5719
#31
29.82.1
22.824.9
Auto0.3
Teleop29.5
End0.0