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Red188
554927.9
6765.1
2041.3
Blue162
24657.9
498031.4
132573.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108158050200250300188162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#20
65.13.4
62.666.0
Auto5.3
Teleop59.8
End0.0
blue by 8.5
73.50.6
63.464.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.0
End0.0
Second
20
#46
41.33.4
32.936.3
Auto0.3
Teleop41.0
End0.0
blue by 16.6
246
#27
57.90.6
57.658.3
Auto4.4
Teleop53.5
End0.0
Third
5549
#65
27.93.4
24.227.6
Auto1.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 3.5
4980
#56
31.40.6
34.835.4
Auto0.4
Teleop31.0
End0.0