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Red235
354762.4
207554.5
173087.8
Blue134
360457.2
55840.6
24657.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194143100250300235134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.82.1
83.986.0
Auto15.0
Teleop72.8
End0.0
red by 29.9
246
#27
57.91.1
58.357.1
Auto4.4
Teleop53.5
End0.0
Second
3547
#16
62.42.1
59.461.5
Auto1.5
Teleop60.9
End0.0
red by 5.2
3604
#34
57.21.1
56.855.7
Auto1.9
Teleop55.3
End0.0
Third
2075
#13
54.52.1
49.851.9
Auto2.4
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 13.9
558
#40
40.61.1
41.540.4
Auto1.3
Teleop39.3
End0.0