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Red130
150163.4
2041.3
551014.9
Blue120
22572.0
533840.0
124133.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104148050200250300130120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#21
63.40.8
64.064.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop63.8
End0.0
blue by 8.6
225
#18
72.01.3
73.672.3
Auto4.6
Teleop67.4
End0.0
Second
20
#46
41.30.8
36.337.1
Auto0.3
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 1.3
5338
#22
40.01.3
40.339.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Third
5510
#60
14.90.8
14.515.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 18.7
1241
#49
33.61.3
32.931.5
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0