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Red190
171849.2
23366.3
403956.4
Blue223
14439.6
36877.8
35968.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621770100200300400190223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#8
66.30.3
65.766.0
Auto9.4
Teleop57.0
End0.0
blue by 11.5
368
#4
77.80.7
76.477.1
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
Second
4039
#14
56.40.3
55.756.1
Auto-2.6
Teleop58.9
End0.0
blue by 11.9
359
#11
68.30.7
66.867.5
Auto-1.8
Teleop70.1
End0.0
Third
1718
#35
49.20.3
48.648.9
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
red by 9.5
144
#49
39.60.7
38.238.9
Auto0.2
Teleop39.5
End0.0