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Quarterfinal pool 12015 Carver Division
Red168
33729.4
36877.8
35968.3
Blue189
276760.8
496771.7
285268.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15620550100250300350168189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#4
77.80.0
74.9→74.8
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
red by 6.2
4967
#6
71.70.3
72.9→72.7
Auto10.5
Teleop61.2
End0.0
Second
359
#11
68.30.0
65.3→65.3
Auto-1.8
Teleop70.1
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2852
#27
68.80.3
70.0→69.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop68.9
End0.0
Third
337
#39
29.40.0
29.4→29.4
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0
blue by 31.4
2767
#24
60.80.3
62.0→61.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop61.0
End0.0