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Red48
453624.4
47218.5
33729.4
Blue42
54585.9
12828.5
529117.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504810203040607080904842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#39
29.40.1
25.325.2
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0
red by 0.9
128
#47
28.50.6
17.216.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Second
4536
#52
24.40.2
20.119.9
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 7.3
5291
#76
17.10.6
22.622.1
Auto0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
4721
#72DQ
8.50.1
5.35.2
Auto-1.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
red by 2.6
5458
#74
5.90.6
11.511.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.0