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Red140
47218.5
176867.4
32945.4
Blue130
186827.5
14439.6
6666.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151146080100140160180140130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#43
67.41.2
65.666.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop67.9
End0.0
red by 0.9
66
#7
66.50.5
63.063.5
Auto1.3
Teleop65.2
End0.0
Second
329
#30
45.41.2
42.543.6
Auto5.1
Teleop40.3
End0.0
red by 5.7
144
#49
39.60.5
33.834.2
Auto0.2
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Third
4721
#72
8.51.2
8.19.3
Auto-1.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 19.0
1868
#41
27.50.5
23.724.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.9
End0.0