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Red200
171761.1
55467.9
82950.4
Blue164
543137.8
36877.8
453624.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98134050150200250200164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.14.6
58.262.9
Auto7.8
Teleop53.2
End0.0
blue by 16.8
368
#4
77.81.6
73.374.9
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
Second
829
#15
50.44.6
45.750.4
Auto1.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 12.6
5431
#26
37.81.6
36.738.3
Auto0.6
Teleop37.1
End0.0
Third
5546
#67
7.94.6
3.27.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 16.5
4536
#52
24.41.6
22.824.4
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0