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Red219
102461.8
400152.1
198685.0
Blue172
120852.1
276760.8
544242.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19011850100150250219172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.01.7
80.582.2
Auto6.9
Teleop78.1
End0.0
red by 24.2
2767
#24
60.81.9
56.558.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Second
1024
#10
61.81.7
55.056.6
Auto2.7
Teleop59.1
End0.0
red by 9.7
1208
#20
52.11.9
50.352.2
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
Third
4001
#19
52.11.7
50.251.9
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 9.5
5442
#16
42.61.9
27.229.1
Auto0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0