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Red122
540246.5
264822.9
23366.3
Blue88
384423.0
496771.7
188437.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105113020030040050060012288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#8
66.30.6
44.144.7
Auto9.4
Teleop57.0
End0.0
blue by 5.3
71.71.1
67.566.4
Auto10.5
Teleop61.2
End0.0
Second
5402
#22
46.50.6
38.338.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop46.9
End0.0
red by 9.2
1884
#31
37.31.6
25.523.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Third
2648
#75
22.90.6
27.428.0
Auto0.8
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 0.1
3844
#71
23.01.3
22.721.4
Auto-0.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0