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Red116
350718.3
543137.8
263043.9
Blue136
526043.7
6666.5
400152.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66168050100150200250300116136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#18
43.91.9
33.335.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
blue by 22.6
66
#7
66.51.1
59.358.2
Auto1.3
Teleop65.2
End0.0
Second
5431
#26
37.81.9
30.832.6
Auto0.6
Teleop37.1
End0.0
blue by 14.3
4001
#19
52.11.1
52.151.0
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
Third
3507
#68
18.31.9
20.222.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 25.4
5260
#40
43.71.1
46.245.1
Auto0.1
Teleop43.6
End0.0