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Red60
55467.9
14439.6
12828.5
Blue49
551514.8
77115.0
438149.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions478401001502006049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#49
39.60.3
32.432.7
Auto0.2
Teleop39.5
End0.0
blue by 9.6
4381
#45
49.21.3
51.049.7
Auto0.6
Teleop48.6
End0.0
Second
128
#47
28.50.3
21.521.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
red by 13.5
771
#70
15.01.3
13.211.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
5546
#67
7.90.3
0.91.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 7.0
5515
#73
14.81.3
17.316.0
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0