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Red45
54585.9
264822.9
332418.9
Blue162
233757.4
400152.1
335222.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3613205010015020045162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#75
22.90.4
27.727.3
Auto0.8
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 34.5
2337
#13
57.42.3
55.758.1
Auto1.9
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Second
3324
#57
18.90.4
14.414.0
Auto1.1
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 33.1
4001
#19
52.12.3
50.953.3
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
Third
5458
#74
5.90.4
10.510.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 17.0
3352
#58
22.82.3
14.616.9
Auto1.8
Teleop21.0
End0.0