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Red162
17246.7
418351.8
36877.8
Blue140
7158.0
97178.1
403956.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411530200400600800162140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#4
77.80.7
65.366.1
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
blue by 0.3
971
#1
78.10.8
54.954.1
Auto6.3
Teleop71.8
End0.0
Second
4183
#12
51.80.7
34.835.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.1
End0.0
blue by 6.2
71
#29
58.00.8
52.852.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop58.4
End0.0
Third
172
#42
46.70.7
47.548.2
Auto0.0
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 9.7
4039
#14
56.40.8
48.547.7
Auto-2.6
Teleop58.9
End0.0