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Red130
17246.7
351248.9
171761.1
Blue69
276760.8
12828.5
384423.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162965020025030013069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.11.4
58.757.3
Auto7.8
Teleop53.2
End0.0
red by 0.3
2767
#24
60.82.0
63.361.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Second
3512
#23
48.91.4
47.846.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 20.3
128
#47
28.52.0
24.922.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Third
172
#42
46.71.4
50.649.3
Auto0.0
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 23.7
3844
#71
23.02.0
21.519.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0