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Red103
102461.8
350420.2
17246.7
Blue182
14439.6
491554.6
35968.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121141050100200250300103182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#10
61.81.3
59.458.1
Auto2.7
Teleop59.1
End0.0
blue by 6.5
359
#11
68.31.9
62.964.8
Auto-1.8
Teleop70.1
End0.0
Second
172
#42
46.71.3
49.348.0
Auto0.0
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 7.9
4915
#28
54.61.9
48.550.4
Auto0.1
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Third
3504
#56
20.21.3
20.018.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 19.4
144
#49
39.61.9
31.833.8
Auto0.2
Teleop39.5
End0.0