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Red176
36877.8
400152.1
162539.0
Blue150
176867.4
494517.7
12828.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17582050100150200250300176150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#4
77.80.5
74.474.9
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
red by 10.5
1768
#43
67.42.5
63.165.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop67.9
End0.0
Second
4001
#19
52.10.5
52.152.5
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 23.5
128
#47
28.52.5
22.825.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Third
1625
#54
39.00.5
40.140.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 21.3
4945
#50
17.72.5
14.116.6
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0