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Red116
19350.1
21619.3
283455.4
Blue70
136917.8
171849.2
82950.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251168010014016018011670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#32
55.40.6
55.354.7
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 5.1
829
#15
50.42.6
48.445.9
Auto1.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Second
193
#38
50.10.6
52.351.7
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
red by 0.9
1718
#35
49.22.6
50.347.7
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
Third
216
#62
19.30.6
20.820.2
Auto0.8
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 1.5
1369
#69
17.82.6
22.720.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0