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Semifinal pool 62015 Carver Division
Red212
14439.6
36877.8
35968.3
Blue208
171849.2
23366.3
403956.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176160100150200250212208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#4
77.80.5
75.8→76.4
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
red by 11.5
233
#8
66.30.7
65.0→65.7
Auto9.4
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Second
359
#11
68.30.5
66.3→66.8
Auto-1.8
Teleop70.1
End0.0
red by 11.9
4039
#14
56.40.7
55.1→55.7
Auto-2.6
Teleop58.9
End0.0
Third
144
#49
39.60.5
37.6→38.2
Auto0.2
Teleop39.5
End0.0
blue by 9.5
1718
#35
49.20.7
47.9→48.6
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0