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Red218
167879.4
11882.1
545811.5
Blue132
70154.7
208550.4
56825.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17111650100150200250300218132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
82.10.8
80.781.5
Auto10.0
Teleop72.1
End0.0
red by 27.4
701
#5
54.70.1
54.154.2
Auto1.7
Teleop52.9
End0.0
Second
79.40.8
78.078.8
Auto8.6
Teleop70.8
End0.0
red by 29.0
50.40.1
49.749.8
Auto0.3
Teleop50.1
End0.0
Third
5458
#50
11.51.0
9.810.8
Auto0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 14.1
568
#16
25.60.1
24.925.0
Auto1.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0